The Liberals are set to lose big in the next election, falling to 4th place behind the Conservatives, NDP, and BQ in the most recent polls.
According to the latest Abacus poll, the Trudeau Liberals are expected to lose 123 seats in the next election, losing their stronghold in the GTA and falling behind both the NDP and BQ for what will be one of the most historically poor performances in Canadian history.
Conversely, based on projections of data from Abacus, the Conservative Party is gearing up for one of the greatest majorities in Canadian history, gaining 104 seats for 223 total seats, while the BQ will gain 11 for 43, the NDP will gain 13 for 38, and the Liberals will fall to 37.
With that said, the Liberals are still set to finish second in terms of the popular vote (20 points below the Conservatives) but will lose the majority of their ridings, which have rapidly turned blue.
Moreover, it doesn’t look like the Liberals will gain the majority of support in a single province, with the only province they’re ahead of the Conservatives in (Quebec) being dominated by the Bloc Quebecois.
Liberals are losing Canadians’ trust largely due to economic mismanagement
While Trudeau says Canadians aren’t in decision mode yet when it comes to the next election, most polls disagree. Moreover, overwhelmingly, they all say Canadians want a change in government, with Conservatives viewed as more capable of handling the issues (mostly economic) that Canadians are worried about.
According to a recently published Abacus poll, Canadians rate the rising cost of living, housing affordability and accessibility, healthcare, the general economy, and immigration being too high as their top 5 issues.
And on all of these issues besides healthcare, which is tied between Liberals and Conservatives, Canadians believe the Conservatives are more capable of handling them by a large margin.
For this and a whole host of other reasons, including foreign interference claims and corruption scandals, polls have found that the Liberals are over 99% likely to lose the next election, losing over half their MPs in the process.
