EXCLUSIVE: Poll shows Nenshi is deeply disliked, with UCP +8 in “NDP Fortress Edmonton”

According to several well placed sources, Danielle Smith’s United Conservative Party (UCP) is making serious inroads in the unlikeliest of places: Edmonton.

Poll shows Nenshi is deeply disliked, with UCP +8 in “NDP Fortress Edmonton”

A new poll is showing the government that the UCP has an 8-point lead in Edmonton, a city that the NDP has treated like its own private backyard for years. And it’s not just Edmonton where the NDP is losing its grip—sources say NDP leader Naheed Nenshi’s party is bleeding support across the province.

Nenshi’s favorability? -17%.

Even The Breakdown, a far-left, anti-Smith blog, admitted to the growing chatter about the poll. Here’s what they tweeted Tuesday night:

“Apparently there’s a new high-quality poll that shows Smith and the UCP have not only gained ground in Alberta… The UCP are gaining significant ground in NDP fortress Edmonton. And the NDP are losing support everywhere.”

If The Breakdown is sounding the alarm, you know it’s bad news for the circus.

Danielle Smith’s Momentum is Real

This is just the latest sign that Premier Smith is tapping into something Albertans haven’t felt in years: confidence. 

Smith has taken the fight directly to Justin Trudeau’s Ottawa, whether it’s standing up to his destructive energy policies, calling out his climate hysteria, or defending Alberta’s industries against federal overreach.

Albertans are seeing Smith fight for them, and clearly, that message is resonating — not just in the UCP’s rural strongholds, but in places like Edmonton, where the NDP has ruled the roost for far too long.

And why wouldn’t this be the case? Edmonton voters are finally waking up to the fact that Rachel Notley’s NDP has offered nothing but high taxes, crippling regulations, and endless pandering to their pals in Ottawa. Under the NDP, Edmonton’s future is one of stagnation. Under the UCP, it’s growth, opportunity, and independence.

Why Edmonton Matters

Edmonton has always been the NDP’s security blanket. It’s their base, their comfort zone, and their guaranteed source of MLAs. If they lose their grip here, it’s game over.

That’s why this 8-point lead is such a big deal. Edmonton voters aren’t just drifting away from the NDP—they’re turning to the UCP in droves. And that’s a massive shift in the political landscape.

Let’s be clear: If these whispers are true, it’s a complete rejection of the NDP agenda. It’s a sign that Albertans—even in the heart of the NDP’s power base—are sick and tired of being lectured, overtaxed, and treated like second-class citizens in their own province.

What’s Next?

For the NDP, this could be a disaster in the making. If they lose Edmonton, where do they go? What’s left of their platform other than whining about Danielle Smith and doing Trudeau’s dirty work?

For the UCP, this is momentum. Smith’s leadership is connecting with voters in a way her critics didn’t think was possible. 

The UCP is proving that they can win anywhere.

And here’s the kicker: the mainstream media won’t cover this. They’ll bury it, spin it, or ignore it outright, just like they do with anything that makes the NDP look bad. But Albertans aren’t stupid. They see the writing on the wall.

Danielle Smith is winning, and the NDP is losing. It’s as simple as that.

This story is part of our opinion section. It is written with both objective fact and subjective perspective. Unlike the CBC, The Counter Signal believes it is important to distinguish between news and opinion.

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