The latest poll reveals that the federal NDP continues to slide, now projected to win just 16 seats—less than half the number currently projected for the Quebec separatist Bloc Quebecois.

The September 1 update from 338 Canada comes amid calls from within the NDP to break up their coalition agreement with the Liberals.

The update shows the federal Conservatives are still projected to win a majority government with 210 seats. The Liberals are expected to come in second with 81 seats, followed by the Bloc Quebecois with 34 seats—more than double the meager 16 seats the NDP is on pace to secure.

On Tuesday, far-left NDP MP Matthew Green acknowledged that he’ll be having “tough conversations” at the party’s upcoming caucus retreat, where he plans to raise the issue of terminating the NDP’s agreement with the Liberals. This agreement protects Justin Trudeau’s government from facing a non-confidence vote in exchange for support on some of the NDP’s policies.

Green’s comments follow the federal Liberal government’s intervention in the railway labor dispute by directing the Canada Industrial Relations Board to impose binding arbitration.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has been criticized for protecting the Trudeau government at virtually every opportunity, leading his party into irrelevance while he waits to secure his pension, which he risks losing if an election is called before October 2025.

Trudeau delays election to secure pensions for doomed MPs

Tucked within the Trudeau Liberal’s election reform bill introduced in March is a peculiar delay of the 2025 election date by just one week — leading some to speculate that the purpose was to ensure that doomed Liberal and NDP MPs qualify for their pensions before getting booted from power.