The latest polling shows that the Liberal Party is set to lose over half of its elected MPs in the next election.
According to data from 338Canada, the Liberal Party is expected to lose up to 86 seats in the next election, constituting one of the greatest political shakeups in Canadian history.
Moreover, the Conservatives are set to gain enough seats to be tied for the largest majority government in history, with an estimated 91-92 MPs added to reach 211, tying Brian Mulroney’s 1984 record and exceeding the previous 1958 record when John Diefenbaker led the Conservatives to victory.
Additionally, the odds of the Conservative Party of Canada not just winning but winning a majority government are now over 99%. In other words, assuming calamity doesn’t strike, a Conservative majority government is assured, and the Liberals are just biding their time.
And with the NDP set to lose seats, too, even if the Liberals tried to form a coalition again, the combined might of Canada’s left-wing parties still wouldn’t come close to the Conservatives.
Jagmeet Singh buckles up, still no indication of a snap election
Despite the statistical certainty of a Conservative victory in next year’s scheduled election and the overwhelming desire of the Canadian people for a change in government, there is still no indication that there will be a snap election.
While many may point the finger at Justin Trudeau for refusing to call an election when it’s clear Canada needs one, the real culprit is NDP leader Jagmeet Singh, who formed a coalition with Trudeau to create a de-facto Liberal majority and stay in power just long enough to pick up a pension.
Earlier this year, the Conservatives attempted to call an election via a non-confidence vote over the carbon tax. But the NDP stopped it.
However, now that reports have come out that several MPs are guilty of treason and “wittingly” aiding foreign agents working against Canada, it’s getting harder and harder to justify fence-sitting.
While Singh has openly called for the release of the names of MPs guilty of treason and stated every one of them needs to be kicked out of parliament, he has refused to say he’ll support another non-confidence vote.
As it stands, it appears Singh plans to once again wait out the storm of disapproval, both from Canadians at large and within his own party.